New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (July 6)

francisco-lindor-800x480

What kind of performances can we expect on Thursday from and ? Follow along as our MLB betting expert, Nick Galaida, delivers his favorite MLB Same Game Parlay prediction for today – Thursday, July 6, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more MLB player props, at ScoresandOdds.

Thursday’s 13-game MLB slate began earlier this afternoon in Washington, but there are nine games still yet to get underway as of this writing. Four contests, including tonight’s matchup between the New York Mets and Arizona Diamondbacks, have a scheduled first pitch at 8:10 p.m. ET or later.

Since we began posting this article, we have had 12 near misses, five cashed tickets, and nine parlays that were seemingly dead on arrival – all normal outcomes when consistently betting long-shot parlays.

In this article, we never post a ticket with shorter than +700 odds, meaning that we only need to hit once each week to be profitable, which we have achieved to date. Overall, these plays are 45-33 (57.7%) if played as straight wagers, many of which have been significant alt-lines, even as individual tickets.

Below, we break down our favorite long-shot (+850) look for July 6, focusing on today’s matchup between the New York Mets and Arizona Diamondbacks!

Today’s Odds + Potential Payout Based on Investment
DraftKings Sportsbook Users = $5 to win $47.50
DraftKings Sportsbook Users = $10 to win $95.00
DraftKings Sportsbook Users = $25 to win $237.50
DraftKings Sportsbook Users = $50 to win $475.00

Don’t live in a state with sports betting this baseball season? Use the PrizePicks promo code GRINDERS for $100 sign-up bonus for MLB Fantasy Pick’em.

MLB Parlay Piece for July 6, 2023

  • New York Mets Moneyline
  • 2+ Total Bases
  • 3+ Total Bases

New York Mets Moneyline (+110)

There has been a lot that has gone wrong for the New York Mets this season, but they might have a brief reprieve from the suffering tonight in the desert against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Since June 15, the Mets’ offense has come to life, at least somewhat, ranking 11th in OPS, 6th in ISO, 8th in strikeout percentage, and 17th in walk rate. Tonight, they get to face , who has a dreadful 5.25 FIP and a 1.81 WHIP in his home ballpark in 2023. The road underdogs have value in this spot.

2+ Total Bases (-110)

has been inconsistent this year, but he has done plenty of damage overall against right-handed pitching, hitting .279 with an .855 OPS and a 125 wRC+. Tonight, he gets to face , who has struggled to a 7.22 FIP and a 1.52 WHIP against right-handed batters in 2023. This evening, Carrasco is likely going to experience failure once again when facing a potent offense – include Walker’s total bases as a parlay piece here.

3+ Total Bases (+215)

Not only has been extremely poor at home, he has been downright atrocious against left-handed batters all year. Entering play on Thursday, Nelson owns a 5.66 FIP, 1.51 WHIP, and has allowed a .273 opponent batting average against left-handed hitters in 2023. has struggled with his batting average against right-handed pitching this season, but he still has 24 extra-base-hits in these situations. Lindor has a .975 OPS since June 17 – expect his hot streak to continue in this matchup.

Don’t have access to parlay betting at online sportsbook? Check out DFS Pick’em, a great alternative to sports betting, with our PrizePicks promo code.

MLB Props Results – Wager Type

Parlay Results

July 5: 3-0 (Win)
July 4: 1-2 (Loss)
July 3: 3-1 (Loss)
July 2: 1-2 (Loss)
July 1: 0-3 (Loss)
June 30: 2-1 (Loss)
June 29: 2-1 (Loss)
June 28: 1-2 (Loss)
June 16: 3-0 (Win)
June 15: 2-1 (Loss)
June 14: 1-2 (Loss)
June 13: 2-1 (Loss)
June 12: 3-0 (Win)
June 10: 1-1-1 (Loss)
June 6: 1-2 (Loss)
June 4: 2-1 (Loss)
June 4: 0-3 (Loss)
June 3: 2-1 (Loss)
June 2: 3-0 (Win)
June 1: 1-2 (Loss)
May 31: 1-1-1 (Loss)
May 30: 2-1 (Loss)
May 26: 1-1-1 (Loss)
May 25: 2-3 (Loss)
May 24: 2-0-1 (Win) * James Outman did not enter the game
May 23: 3-1 (Loss)

Image Credit: Getty Images

ncG1vNJzZmiqn6m8qL7Ip5ueqqNjsLC5jpqpraGTobK0e8ylmWarkaKybrPAppxmqJGnuaLFjK2mnZmpYsGpwdGsm5qxXZ%2FCrcWMb2RscWFrgHmD